Why we took it
Baltimore's rushing attack represents the most overwhelming physical mismatch on the board, and New Orleans is running into an absolute buzzsaw. With Zay Flowers ruled out due to a hamstring pull, Todd Monken will strip back the passing rotation and lean into heavy two-tight-end formations designed to clear paths between the tackles. The constant threat of Lamar Jackson pulling the ball on zone-read options freezes second-level defenders, handing Derrick Henry uncontested momentum before he meets opposing defensive backs. Henry dismantled Indianapolis in Week 1, racking up 144 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 24 carries while leading Baltimore to 202 total rushing yards. The bruising veteran has now surpassed 88 rushing yards in six consecutive regular season games, proving his workload remains immune to touch caps when game script is favorable. New Orleans showed glaring interior vulnerabilities last Sunday, coughing up 165 rushing yards at five yards per carry to Detroit's backfield. Baltimore controlled tempo with 37 team rushing attempts in the opener and enters as a heavy home favorite to control the clock.